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INFORMS Nashville – 2016

469

WD45

209A-MCC

Network Economics II

Sponsored: Simulation

Sponsored Session

Chair: Bruno Tuffin, INRIA, TBD, Rennes Cedex, France,

bruno.tuffin@inria.fr

Co-Chair: Patrick Maillé, Telecom Bretagne, 2, rue de la

Cha^taigneraie, Cesson Sévigné, 35576, France,

patrick.maille@telecom-bretagne.eu

1 - On Revenue-oriented Content Delivery Networks And Their

Impact On Net Neutrality

Patrick Maillé, Telecom Bretagne, Rennes, 35510, France,

patrick.maille@telecom-bretagne.eu

, Gwendal Simon,

Bruno Tuffin

We investigate the decisions made by a CDN actor willing to maximize revenue

through the management of its cache servers. Through simple models, we

highlight that revenue-oriented management policies can affect the user-

perceived quality of experience, impacting the competition among content

providers (and also among network access providers) in favor of the incumbent.

Since this goes in the opposite direction to the one aimed by net neutrality

proponents and it seems that CDNs are not discussed much in the net neutrality

debate, we wonder about the need for a definition of what a “neutral” CDN

should look like.

2 - An Optimization Approach For Long-term Network Planning With

Protection Constraints

Nicolas Stier-Moses, Facebook, Menlo Park, CA, United States,

nicostier@yahoo.com

, Josue Kuri

We present an optimization approach for strategic, long-term network planning.

We forecast supply (network assets), demand (network traffic) and possible

failures, and employ a robust optimization approach to optimize which assets to

use and how much capacity must be turned up in each of them. A key element of

this model is its dynamic nature which allows us to consider inter-temporal

constraints (e.g., turned up capacity is monotone over time) and the amortization

of fixed costs.

3 - Profit, Welfare, And Consumer Surplus Implications Of Sponsored

Data Plans

Jialin Song, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 117

Transportation Building, 104 S Mathews Ave, Urbana, IL, 61801,

United States,

jsong83@illinois.edu

, Qiong Wang

Major Mobile Service Providers are now offering sponsored data plans that allow

Content Providers to pay for the access of their contents by end users. How such

practice affects profit, social welfare, and consumer surplus is a critical question in

the network neutrality debate. We address this issue from the perspective of

commodity bundling: without a sponsored data plan, users purchase data blocks

to access all contents, which corresponds to pure bundling; sponsored data plans

separate some contents from the bundle. We develop a two-stage model,

involving both Nash bargaining solution and Nash equilibrium, to analyze and

compare the two situations.

WD46

209B-MCC

Revenue Management and Marketing

Sponsored: Revenue Management & Pricing

Sponsored Session

Chair: Denis Saure, University of Chile, Beaucheff 851, Santiago, Chile,

dsaure@dii.uchile.cl

Co-Chair: Juan Pablo Vielma, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 30

Memorial Dr, Cambridge, MA, 02142, United States,

jvielma@mit.edu

1 - Ellipsoidal Methods For Choice-based Conjoint Analysis

Denis Saure, Universidad de Chile, Republica 701, Santiago,

8370439, Chile,

dsaure@dii.uchile.cl,

Juan Pablo Vielma

In this talk we introduce a variant of the polyhedral method by Toubia, Hauser

and Simester (2004) that uses ellipsoids instead of polyhedral. This change allows

the method to (1) include approximate Gaussian priors on the parameters, (2)

explicitly consider respondent error, and (3) perform quick approximate posterior

updates whose quality nearly matches a full Bayesian update. We also introduce a

practical question selection method that is optimal with respect to the D-

efficiency criterion for one question, and leads to an extremely effective one-step

look-ahead policy for multiple questions.

2 - Capturing Multitaste Preferences: A Machine Learning Approach

Daria Dzyabura, New York University,

ddzyabur@stern.nyu.edu

,

Liu Liu

In diverse product categories, a consumer’s preferences may include several

tastes. For example, one may enjoy cooking American and Chinese recipes, with

different specific criteria for each. We propose a model that allows for multiple

tastes and an efficient estimation algorithm. In a numerical study, we simulate

multi-taste consumers and demonstrate the proposed algorithm accurately

recovers parameters, while benchmark models underfit. We test the algorithm on

recipe texts, after extracting attributes from recipe text using text mining. We

achieve significant improvements in prediction over single-taste benchmarks.

3 - Estimating Customer Spillover Learning Of Service Quality:

A Bayesianhierarchical

Andres I Musalem, Universidad de Chile, Beauchef 851, Santiago,

8370456, Chile,

amusalem@duke.edu

, Yan Shang, Jeannette Song

We propose a Bayesian framework for estimating customer “spillover learning,”

— the process by which customers’ learn from previous experiences of similar but

not necessarily identical services. We apply our model to a data set containing

shipping and sales historical records provided by a world-leading third-party

logistics company.

WD47

209C-MCC

Various Pricing Topics for Revenue Management

Sponsored: Revenue Management & Pricing

Sponsored Session

Chair: Elcin Ergin, McGill, 3465 Hutchison Street, Apt 905, Montreal,

QC, H2X 2G3, Canada,

elcin.ergin@mail.mcgill.ca

1 - Better Late Than Now: Delayed Vs. Instantaneous Price Discounts

With Repeat Customers

Monire Jalili, PhD Student, University of Oregon, 1455 East 25th

Ave, Eugene, OR, 97403, United States,

mjalili@uoregon.edu

,

Michael Pangburn

In this paper, we contrast the delayed versus instantaneous discounting policies in

a repeat purchase setting with rational and forward-looking consumers. We first

establish that if consumer spending is consistent over time, then there is no

benefit to the firm (or consumers) from delayed discounts. With varied spending,

we prove that when the firm can target individual consumers with their optimal

discount percentage, delaying discounts increases profits only for a limited range

of transition shoppers. However, when the same discount percentage applies to all

customers, delayed discounting outperforms the instantaneous discounting, thus

motivating the prevalence of this policy in practice.

2 - Competitive Pricing With Stockouts And Satisficing Customers

Varun Gupta, Penn State Erie, The Behrend College, 5101 Jordan

Rd, Burke 281, Penn State Erie, The Behrend College, Erie, PA,

16563, United States,

vxg15@psu.edu

, Metin Cakanyildirim

Stockouts for high inventory turnover products lead to loss of sales as customers

may substitute their preferred product (stocked out) with another product

(available). We study single period equilibrium prices for competing retailers

selling to satisficing customers with stockout-based substitution under lost sales

and backorders.

3 - Pricing Decisions In Fast Fashion Retailing Using Discrete Choice

Dynamic Programming Model

Elcin Ergin, McGill, 3465 Hutchison Street, Apt 905,

Montreal, QC, H2X 2G3, Canada,

elcin.ergin@mail.mcgill.ca

,

Mehmet Gumus

We study the pricing decisions in fast-fashion retailing firms under a forward-

looking setting utilizing the dynamic nature of the problem. In this context, we

consider a discrete choice dynamic programming model to estimate the optimal

pricing decisions throughout the life cycle of a product. We develop

decomposition approaches based on different functional forms and assess their

performances in terms of computational complexity and objectives of the problem

on a large real-life dataset taken from a fast-fashion company.

WD47