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INFORMS Nashville – 2016

99

4 - Sparse Convex Regression

Nishanth Mundru, Massachusetts Institute of Technology,

Cambridge, MA, 02139, United States,

nmundru@mit.edu

,

Dimitris Bertsimas

Given data (xi, yi) (d+1), i=1,..,n, the problem of convex regression finds a

convex function f: d that minimizes the error

i (yi - f(xi) )2. We propose a

cutting plane algorithm that scales to (n,d) = (10^4,10) in minutes and (n,d) =

(10^5,10^2) in hours. Sparse convex regression finds the best k out of d features,

and solves for the optimal convex function on that subset. Using Mixed integer

optimization methods and first order convex optimization based heuristics, we

extend our algorithm to model sparsity, and solve the problem to provable

optimality for (n,d,k) = (10^4,10^2,10) in minutes.

SD16

105A-MCC

Buffered Probability of Exceedance and Applications

Sponsored: Optimization, Optimization Under Uncertainty

Sponsored Session

Chair: Matthew Norton, University of Florida, 355 Tigert Hall,

Gainesville, 32611, United States,

mdnorton@ufl.edu

1 - Buffered Probability Of Exceedance And Applications To

Machine Learning

Matthew Norton, University of Florida,

mdnorton@ufl.edu

We present a new characterization of uncertainty, called Buffered Probability of

Exceedance (bPOE), specifically addressing its application to machine learning.

Using ideas from Robust Optimization, we show that Robust bPOE minimization

provides a highly flexible framework for binary classification which encompasses

support vector machines (SVM’s), including SVM variants which utilize Robust

Optimization and various convex/non-convex regularization schemes. While also

providing a more concrete interpretation for various SVM formulations, the

proposed framework reveals a fundamental connection between many

regularization schemes and Robust Optimization principals.

2 - Buffered Probability Of Exceedance: Methodology

And Applications

Stan Uryasev, University of Florida,

uryasev@ufl.edu

This paper investigates a new probabilistic characteristic called buffered

probability of exceedance (bPOE). With bPOE, it is possible to count outcomes

similar to a threshold value, rather than only outcomes exceeding the threshold.

To be more precise, bPOE counts tail outcomes averaging to some specific

threshold value. bPOE can be considered as an important supplement to POE. We

will discuss the Cash Matching problem for a Portfolio of Bonds. We minimize

bPOE that assets exceed liabilities.

3 - Smoothed Buffered Probability Of Exceedance: A New Class Of

Probability-like Uncertainty Measures

Alexander Mafusalov, University of Florida,

mafusalov@ufl.edu

Buffered probability of exceedance (bPOE) is a risk-averse alternative to

probability of exceedance and cumulative distribution function. Minimization of

bPOE is reduced to convex programming or even LP for a wide class of problems.

However, being a non-smooth function, bPOE is not always well suited for

gradient optimization. In addition, bPOE reverses the curve of CVaR values, while

another family of risk measures might be preferable in a given application. This

paper introduces a new class of smooth probability-like uncertainty measures,

which are based on bPOE. Dual representations and other mathematical

properties, along with advantages in optimization, are studied.

4 - Approximation Of A Distribution With A Finite Mixture Of Some

Other Distributions Using Cvar Norm

Giorgi Pertaia, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States,

georgepertaia@gmail.com

CVaR norm is applied to approximate a distribution with a finite mixture of some

other distributions. A finite mixture is a weighted sum of simple distributions

(such as normal or triangular). Despite the simplicity of underlying distributions,

the finite mixture can model a wide variety of distributions with heavy tails.

Classical approach of fitting the mixture relies on Maximum Likelihood

estimation, which, in general, leads to a nonconvex optimization problem (with

many local minima where the optimization algorithms might get trapped). In

contrast, procedures using CVaR norm minimization lead to convex

programming, which can be reduced to linear programming problems.

SD17

105B-MCC

Polyhedral Methods in Integer Programming

under Uncertainty

Sponsored: Optimization, Optimization Under Uncertainty

Sponsored Session

Chair: Weijun Xie, Georgia Institute of Technology, 225 North Ave,

Atlanta, GA, 30332, United States,

wxie33@gatech.edu

1 - Decomposition Methods For Solving Distributionally Robust

Two-stage Stochastic Integer Programs

Sanjay Mehrotra, Northwestern University,

mehrotra@northwestern.edu

, Manish Bansal, Kuo-Ling Huang

We present a cutting surface L-shaped method for solving 2-stage distributionally

robust mixed integer programs. We show the finite convergence of the algorithm

under suitable conditions. Wasserstein and moment based uncertainty sets are

considered. Numerical results will be presented that demonstrate the performance

of our approach and illustrate its ability to perform distributional sensitivity

analysis.

2 - An Integer Programming Approach For Two-sided

Chance-constrained Programs

Xiao Liu, The Ohio State University,

liu.2738@osu.edu

Simge Kucukyavuz, Fatma Kilinc-Karzan

We study two-sided chance-constrained programs with a finite probability space.

We reformulate this class of problems as a mixed-integer program. We study the

key substructure of the reformulation and propose valid inequalities that define

the convex hull of this substructure. Finally, we propose polynomial optimization

and separation algorithms for the optimization problem over this substructure.

3 - A Polyhedral Approach To Online Bipartite Matching

Alfredo Torrico, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA,

United States,

atorrico3@gatech.edu

, Alejandro Toriello,

Shabbir Ahmed

We study the i.i.d. online bipartite matching problem, a dynamic version of the

classical model where one side of the bipartition is fixed and known in advance,

while nodes from the other side appear one at a time as i.i.d. realizations of a

uniform distribution, and must immediately be matched or discarded. We

consider various relaxations of the polyhedral set of achievable matching

probabilities, introduce valid inequalities, and discuss when they are facet-

defining. Several of these relaxations correspond to ranking policies and their

time-dependent generalizations.

4 - On Risk Averse Submodular Minimization

Weijun Xie, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA,

United States,

wxie33@gatech.edu

, Shabbir Ahmed

This paper studies a risk averse submodular minimization problem (RASMP)

under a knapsack constraint. Many problems can be reformulated as RASMP

(e.g., chance constrained problems, mean-risk models, optimization with

conditional-value-at-risk, etc). Approximation algorithms are proposed for

RASMP by rounding an optimal solution to a suitable convex relaxation. We also

propose new valid inequalities by partitioning binary variables into groups, and

their separation.

SD18

106A-MCC

Marketing VI

Contributed Session

Chair: Gary Chao, Kutztown University, 888 Kingston Ln, Breinigsville,

PA, 18031, United States,

chao@kutztown.edu

1 - Product Life Cycle Among Different Generations

Gary Chao, Kutztown University, PO Box 730, Department of

Business Administration, Kutztown, PA, 19530, United States,

chao@kutztown.edu,

Maxwell Hsu

The launch of a new product needs a larger commitment in time, money, and

managerial resources. The new product introduction requires careful planning to

ensure the expected market success of a new product. We would like to study

how frequently and when an automaker introduced the new models, how an

automaker designed their product line, what factors influence the diffusion. We

attempt to fit longitudinal data across brands to the Bass diffusion model and

examine the generation change within the same model from different

automakers in order to identify the factors influencing car sales.

SD18