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Gas Regional Investment Plan of the South Region 2017 |

47

Figure 4.7:

LNG source breakdown in the South Region in 2015 (Source: GIIGNL 2016)

Figure 4.8:

LNG liquefaction worldwide capacities constructed or under construction, bcm (Source: WoodMackenzie)

Algeria

Nigeria

Norway

Qatar

Others

Re-Export loaded

%

South Region

Spain

Portugal

France

18

12

–12

31

43

6

%

26

8

32

31

6

%

4

12

16

76

8

%

37

15

6

77

16

–13

–8

–24

600

550

350

300

250

200

150

400

500

450

50

0

100

bcm/yr (s)

2008

2009

2010

2011

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

2018

2017

2019

2020

2021

Asia Paci c

Europe

Middle East

North Africa

North America

South America

West Africa

South Region LNG comes primarily from Algeria (43%, mainly to France), Nigeria

(31%, mainly to Portugal) and Qatar (18%), while five additional LNG suppliers

bring some diversity to the supply chain (see Figure 4.7). Algeria also represents the

largest LNG supplier for France (76%), and Nigeria the largest LNG supplier for

Portugal (77%), while Spanish LNG portfolio is more balanced (the largests suppli-

ers are Algeria and Nigeria with a share of around 30% each) as seen in Figure 4.7.

This distribution is set to change in the coming years with the launch of USA gas ex-

ports towards Europe in March 2016 (the two first American shipments to Europe

were sent to Portugal and Spain). Furthermore, increased liquefaction capacity in

Australia and slower demand for gas in Asia will most likely prompt Atlantic Basin

and Middle Eastern producers to redirect LNG cargos to Europe and Middle East,

further driving down prices.