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Gas Regional Investment Plan of the South Region 2017 |

99

Figure 7.11:

Evolution of Remaining Flexibility in the South Region for Blue Transition Demand scenario under MEDGAZ disruption

(Source: TYNDP 2017)

Figure 7.10:

Evolution of Remaining Flexibility in the South Region for Blue Transition Demand scenario under MEG disruption

(Source: TYNDP 2017)

FRn

ES

PT

Remaining flexibility – MEG disruption

0

80

60

20

40

120

100

%

2017 2020 2025 2030 2035

2017 2020 2025 2030 2035

2017 2020 2025 2030 2035

HIGH

PCI

LOW

FRn

ES

PT

Remaining flexibility – MEDGAZ disruption

0

80

60

20

40

120

100

%

2017 2020 2025 2030 2035

2017 2020 2025 2030 2035

2017 2020 2025 2030 2035

HIGH

PCI

LOW

Analysis of Algerian disruption case

Under MAGHREB disruption, the main impacted country is Spain. Even in PCI and

High levels of infrastructure, the country remains far below France and Portugal, but

still with a Remaining Flexibility above 20%.

As for MAGHREB disruption case, the main impact of MEDGAZ disruption is located

in Spain with reduction in the remaining flexibility of approximately 10% in

comparison with no disruption case.