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Central Eastern Europe GRIP 2017 |
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2017
2020 Low
2025 Low
2025 PCI
2025 High
2020 PCI
2020 High
20%< RF
5% < RF ≤ 20%
1% < RF ≤ 5%
0% < RF ≤ 1%
Remaining Flexibility (RF)
0.001%< DR ≤ 5%
5% < DR ≤ 10%
10% < DR ≤ 50%
50% < DR
Disrupted Rate (DR)
Figure 3.3:
Evolution of Disrupted Rate (DR) and Remaining Flexibility (RF), Normal situation,
Peak Day (DC), Green Evolution
Assessment of the peak day under the
normal situation is based on the results
modelled and presented in the TYNDP
2017 (TYNDP 2017 Annex E – Model-
ling Results) and serves as a baseline
reference scenario for CEE GRIP specif-
ic disruption simulations.
Analysis of the normal situation is also
part of the TYNDP 2017, and the results
indicate that the European gas infra-
structure, respectively in the CEE
region, is able to cope with high demand
situations. The differences between the
Blue Transition and Green Evolution
scenarios appear only in the LOW infra-
structure scenario, in 2025, when the
Remaining Flexibility of Slovenia will de-
crease.
The only country which faces a Disrup-
tion Demand under specific modelled
conditions is Croatia (LOW, 2025). This
is caused by increasing country
demand over the long term and can be
mitigated by the implementation of
planned projects which belong to the
PCI category.