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Central Eastern Europe GRIP 2017 |
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Figure 4.10:
Direction of gas flow considered at each interconnection point under disruption
via Ukraine
Cross-border Entry/Exit capacity 2017 (EP_IN / XP_OUT)
Cross-border Entry/Exit capacity – planned 2018-2026 (EP_IN / XP_OUT)
UGS/Production Entry Capacity (S / P) – withdrawal
UGS Exit Capacity (S_X) – injection
Domestic Exit Capacity required for Demand (D_MAX / D_AS)
2017
2020
2025
Direction of gas flow:
CZ
SK
HU
SI
IT
PL
BG
HR
DE
AT
RO
GR
DK
2020
2021
2018
2019
2021
2020
2023
2018
2023
2020
2021
2024
2021
2019
2019
2019
2022
2020
2023
2019
Disrupted connection (UA)
Disrupted connection (UA)
Disrupted connection (UA)
Disrupted connections (UA)
Disrupted connections (UA)
LT
Disrupted connection (UA)
The analysis for the 2017 summer period resulted in the identification of a problem
in Bulgaria. Due to the lack of gas in Bulgaria that would be caused by a gas supply
disruption via Ukraine, there would be no gas for the underground storage facilities
in Bulgaria during the summer. This situation could lead to a deepening of the
problem identified during the winter period, because the underground storage facil-
ities would be empty. This problem will be solved by the implementation of planned
infrastructure projects in upcoming years. During the 2017 summer period, poten-
tial problems in injecting gas into underground storage facilities in Hungary and
Romania were also identified, but only if the disruption lasted more than 45 and 138
days, respectively. A potential problem was also identified in Austria (only if the
disruption lasted more than 116 days), but this would be caused by the fact that IP
Baumgarten is used in the AT>SK direction in the analysis. If it had been used in the
other direction, Austria would have no problem.
In the 2020 summer period, the potential problem of injecting gas into underground
storage facilities was detected in Hungary, but only if the gas supply disruption
through Ukraine lasted longer than 37 days.
The commissioning of projects in subsequent years will respond to all identified
problems.