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From the

AmericaS

89

M

arch

2009

www.read-tpt.com

makers face in restructuring their businesses in return for billions of

dollars in federal loans”

(

‘Urgent need to shed dealers hampered,’

10 January).

It is the judgment of the automakers that, as new car and truck sales

fall to their lowest levels in decades, fewer dealerships are needed.

Industry experts concur. The dealers, understandably, want to keep

their businesses. For dealers and producers to be at loggerheads

is not remarkable. But positions harden quickly in the cauldron that

is the US auto industry right now, and Ms Merx believes that the

dealer-producer standoff holds potential for becoming one of the

most complicated problems facing the industry.

In addition to their own

‘gritty will’

, Ms Merx wrote on Freep.com, the

dealers are fortified by state laws and individual franchise contracts

that have made it difficult for the automakers to shed dealerships

quickly or affordably. One of her respondents, Sheldon Sandler,

founder of Bel-Air Partners (Skillman, New Jersey), a dealership

brokerage, said,

“It’s one thing to shrink your own business, but

telling an independent business owner to close up is a whole other

story. This is a real conundrum and is probably as difficult a problem

as negotiating [with a union], if not more so.”

Meanwhile, under the restructuring plans presented to the federal

government, the US automakers have pledged to speed up the

process of shrinking their retail outlets. Neither Chrysler LLC (with

3,300 dealerships) nor Ford Motor Co (with 3,790) has disclosed a

target for reductions. But General Motors Corp told Congress that

it aims to reduce its dealer count by 26 per cent, from 6,375 at the

end of 2008 to 4,700 by 2012.

Even if GM were to succeed in cutting its dealer body to 4,700, that

might not be enough. Ms Merx wrote,

“Without shrinking the rest of

the business, experts said, GM’s sales per dealership would remain

much lower than those of [their Japanese] competitors Toyota Motor

Corp and Honda Motor Company.”

The prescriptions for shrinkage vary widely. To be competitive, one

analyst said, GM should reduce its dealer count to closer to 2,000.

Other experts told the Free Press that Detroit’s automakers need to

reduce their stores nationwide by up to 20 percent.

On the subject of shrinkage, a New York-based automotive

consultant shared an opinion with the Globe and Mail (Toronto).

John Casesa, managing partner of Casesa Shapiro Partners, told

the Globe’s Greg Keenan (12 January),

“These [auto] companies

are size 38’s in size 44 suits. They have too many plants and

dealers.”

Assuming that the automakers must jettison dealerships or else

forfeit the help from Washington, what are industry observers

saying? Given the complexities of shaking off dealerships, several

experts told the Free Press that it might not be possible to achieve

the scope of closures and consolidations the automakers are

seeking without bankruptcy or government-facilitated bankruptcy-

like proceedings. These would presumably permit the automakers

to void franchise contracts to achieve their aims; but at what political

cost to the nascent administration of President Barack Obama?

And the question suggests itself, would the results justify such

strenuous efforts? Mark Johnson, an automotive merger consultant