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Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report |
185
2020 Low
0%
20%
100%
0%
20%
100%
50%
Remaining Flexibility
Disrupted Demand
Figure 6.4:
Remaining Flexibility for Langeled, Franpipe, Transmed, GreenStream, MEG and
TANAP route disruption, Low infrastructure level, all Demand Scenarios and
High Demand Situations
6.3.2.3 Disrupted Demand and Remaining Flexibility
under Route Disruption
This section investigates the effect of a supply route disruption during a high demand
situation. Only the additional effect compared to the result from the situation without
the route disruptions are shown. Results are shown for the European Green Revolu-
tion and the Blue Transition scenarios.
The gas infrastructure is resilient to most of the route disruptions cases investigated.
The Ukraine transit disruption leads to disrupted demand. In some of the scenarios,
the Belarus transit disruption also leads to disrupted demand on the long term.
Franpipe, GreenStream, Langeled, MEG, TANAP
and Transmed route disruptions
The disruption cases have been modelled for Franpipe, GreenStream, Langeled,
MEG, TANAP and Transmed. Results do not show significant differences in terms of
remaining flexibility for security of supply needs, compared to the case without route
disruption covered in 6.3.2.1. The results as illustrated below are the same for all
cases.