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Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report
6.3.2.2 Remaining Flexibility and Disrupted Rate under
high demand situations (normal situation)
This section analyses the results under an otherwise normal situation in the sense
that all supply routes are available (no route disruption).
The results indicate that the European gas infrastructure is able to cope with high
demand situations. In the long term the demand increase in Croatia, foreseen in all
demand scenarios and primarily related to power generation, may require addition-
al infrastructure reinforcement to cope with its high demand situations. The related
demand information is available in Annex C2.
If the Romanian indigenous production would indeed decrease as reported by 2035,
the country may also have difficulty in covering its high demand situations. It should
be noted these situations occur in the later simulated years.
It is also worth noting that the current firm infrastructure capacity between Germa-
ny and Denmark is just sufficient for Denmark and Sweden to face their high
demand situations in the Blue Transition scenario (Remaining Flexibility is close to
0%). Additionally, in 2030 in the Blue Transition scenario, the demand increase in
Poland, in particular related to gas displacing higher-carbon coal generation in the
power sector, contributes to a lower remaining flexibility.
Blue Transition
2020 Low
Blue Transition
2030 Low
EU Green Revolution
2020 Low
EU Green Revolution
2030 Low
0%
20%
100%
0%
20%
100%
50%
Remaining Flexibility
Disrupted Demand
Figure 6.3:
Disrupted Rate and Remaining Flexibility, EU Green Revolution and Blue Transition,
DC, Low infrastructure level