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Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report |
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The EU supply needs are defined as the difference between the EU demand and the
indigenous production, taking into account the biomethane production, as present-
ed in the Supply and Demand chapters. In this assessment, the EU supply needs
are only covered by extra-EU imports. Depending on future developments, higher
indigenous production (from biomethane, hydrogen from power-to-gas facilities,
new conventional and unconventional production) could also help to meet the sup-
ply needs.
The combination of the different demand scenarios, with decreasing expectations
for the indigenous production, except for biomethane, leads to increasing supply
needs over time in the Blue Transition and Green Evolution scenarios. The EU Green
Revolution is the only scenario where the lower demand together with the biometh-
ane production nearly compensates the decrease of the conventional production
and leads to more stable needs over time.
Different supply mixes for meeting the Supply Adequacy Outlook over the time hori-
zon are analysed as part of the assessment, they are described in section 6.3.2.4.
Figure 6.2:
Evolution of extra-EU supply needs in the different scenarios
2,500
3,500
4,000
3,000
4,500
5,000
TWh
2017
2020
2025
2030
2035
EU Green Revolution
Green Evolution
Blue Transition
Extra-EU Supply need evolution