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Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report
Figure 6.9:
Supply mix peak day, Blue Transition
Figure 6.10:
Supply mix peak day, EU Green Revolution
0
20
15
10
5
25
40
35
30
%
15%
11%
1% 0%
21%
15%
10%
1% 0%
21%
32%
10%
1% 1%
21%
36%
3%
34%
18%
4%
13%
19%
4%
8%
National Production (NP)
Azerbaijan (AZ)
LNG (carriers + tanks)
Norway (NO)
Russia (RU)
UGS
Algeria (DZ)
Libya (LY)
2017
2020
2030
Supply mix on Peak day – Blue Transition
0
20
15
10
5
25
40
35
30
%
16%
11%
1% 0%
22%
15%
11%
1% 0%
22%
29%
11%
1% 1%
30%
3%
33%
19%
4%
14%
21%
4%
9%
24%
National Production (NP)
Azerbaijan (AZ)
LNG (carriers + tanks)
Norway (NO)
Russia (RU)
UGS
Algeria (DZ)
Libya (LY)
2017
2020
2030
Supply mix on Peak day – EU Green Revolution
Under high demand situations
Under high demand situations the supply and demand adequacy relies on a signif-
icant share of storage injection. Over time the storages together with the Russian
supply replace the disappearing flexibility from National production. This is sensitive
to the demand evolution explored in the scenarios. The following charts illustrate the
evolution in the Blue Transition and EU Green Revolution scenarios.
Russian gas is the only source showing an increasing share on every analysed con-
figuration. Regarding LNG, available LNG flexibility in the tanks is used in addition
to the LNG deliveries from carriers. The volumes in tanks are the difference between
the operative fill level of the LNG tanks and their technically required minimum fill
level. In total, the regasification capacities are fully used on the peak day, while UGS
in particular could still provide additional flexibility.