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Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report

Maximisation of LNG

A low LNG price can influence several countries within

Europe. The biggest impact is expected in the countries

with a direct connection to LNG supply. Depending on

the interconnections this impact is or not able to propa-

gate further to other countries. The overall EU impact

evolution over time relates to the increasing available

LNG flexibility. The below map indicates that Greece and

the Baltics are constrained in sharing low LNG price ben-

efits up to the maximum with neighbours. The same is

visible to a lesser extent for the Iberian Peninsula towards

the North and for the Ireland, United Kingdom, France

and Belgium area towards further East countries. The

situation for Italy and the Netherlands, which also have

direct access to LNG, reflects the fact that interconnec-

tions allow them to share the low LNG price within a wide

area. The potential to access LNG when its price is low,

as represented in the below figure, is weighted according

to the SSPDi indicator results as analysed in 6.3.3.1. The

below figure rank countries in terms of ability to benefit

from a low LNG price, from best to worst.

2017 Low

2020 Low

2030 Low

Price effects from a low price for LNG,

Green Evolution, Low infrastructure level, €/MWh

0

0.50

2.00

5.00

1.00

3.00

Figure 6.25:

Price effects from a low price for LNG,

Green Evolution, Low infrastructure level

100

80

60

40

20

0

SSPDi – LNG

ES

GR

PT

LT

EE

LV

FRs

FRt

IE

FRn

BE

LU

UK

PL

CH

IT

AT

CZ

DEg

DEn

DK

HR

HU

NL

RS

SE

SI

SK

BG

MK

RO

FI

%

2017

2020

2030

Figure 6.26:

SSPDi – LNG per country,

Green Evolution, Low infrastructure level