217 / 288
Blue Transition
2017 Low
Blue Transition
2020 Low
Blue Transition
2030 Low
EU Green Revolution
2017 Low
EU Green Revolution
2020 Low
EU Green Revolution
2030 Low
-10
-1
2
5
1
3
10
Import price spread con guration, whole year, EU Green Revolution and Blue Transition, Low infrastructure level, €/MWh
Figure 6.29:
Import price spread configuration, whole year, Low infrastructure level, Blue Transition and EU Green Revolution
Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report |
217
In 2017 and in the Blue Transition scenario, a number of barriers are identified.
Barriers to have a lower price exist for Austria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Slovenia and
Slovakia. These barriers are mainly related to the complete use of available capaci-
ty between Italy and Slovenia, Germany and Austria as well as between Germany
and Czech Republic. Slovakia, Czech Republic, Austria, Slovenia and Croatia share
the same price, indicating absence of congestion between these countries. More
barriers are identified between these countries and countries further East, showing
infrastructure limitations towards Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, FYROM, Hun-
gary, Romania and Serbia.
In 2020, the capacity from Italy to Austria allows Austria, Croatia, Czech Republic,
Slovenia and Slovakia to be connected to Italy in terms of marginal price. This allows
in turn for the interconnection between Germany and Austria to be less used, which
also links the marginal prices to Germany. The increase of Romanian production
and exports to neighbouring countries lowers the use of some infrastructure, allow-
ing price convergence in the area. Nevertheless, Romania remains price decoupled
as its exit capacities are fully used, preventing it from further sharing the benefits of
its indigenous production.
In 2030 in the Blue Transition scenario, following the demand increase in these
countries and the decreased production in Romania, Croatia, Czech Republic,
Hungary and Slovakia are potentially influenced by the price spreads again.