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INFORMS Philadelphia – 2015

412

WB35

35-Room 412, Marriott

Urban Planning

Contributed Session

Chair: Richard Zapata, Universidad del Desarrollo, Avda Sanhueza

1750, Concepcion, Ch, 4040418, Chile,

rlzapatag@gmail.com

1 - Parking Equilibrium Model with Urban Truck Tour Deliveries

Joseph Chow, Assistant Professor, Ryerson University,

350 Victoria Street, MON 407, Toronto, ON, M5B 2K3, Canada,

joseph.chow@ryerson.ca,

Ahmed Amer

Arnott and Inci’s (2006) parking equilibrium model is extended to include urban

truck tour deliveries and corresponding variables: double-parking stock, delivery

duration, number of stops on tour, tour length, and fleet size. Effects of double-

parking on traffic flow are estimated using AIMSUN microsimulation. The model

is applied to downtown Toronto to provide policy recommendations including

pricing, scheduling, geometric design, and zoning.

2 - Urban Freight Distribution with Batch Arrivals

Marco Schutten, Associate Professor, University of Twente,

P.O. Box 217, Enschede, 7500 AE, Netherlands,

m.schutten@utwente.nl,

Martijn Mes, Wouter Van Heeswijk

We study a dispatch problem with uncontrolled batch arrivals of LTL orders at an

urban consolidation center. The specific order properties may be highly varying in

city logistics. Directly distributing an incoming batch may yield high costs.

Instead, the hub operator may decide to wait for incoming batches that allow for

more efficient distribution. We show that an ADP approach closely approximates

the exact values for small instances, and outperforms two benchmark policies for

larger instances.

3 - Evaluating Overtopping Risks of Reservoir Systems Based on

Rare Event Simulation

Qianli Deng, University of Maryland, College Park, 0147H

Engineering Lab Building, College Park, MD, 20742,

United States of America,

dqianli@umd.edu,

Gregory B. Baecher

Overtopping risks of reservoir systems, in most cases, have very small probabilities

of occurring. Estimation with crude Monte-Carlo simulation requires a

prohibitively large numbers of trials. Otherwise, estimation would not be

accurate. Computational expense served as one of the prohibitive reasons that

simulation has not been widely applied to reservoir operation. A rare event

simulation-based approach is thus proposed in this study to address the

overtopping risks of reservoir systems.

4 - Effect of Infrastructure Investment and Freight Accessibility on

Gross Domestic Product

Ruben Yie Pinedo, Full Time Professor, Universidad del Norte,

Km5 via Puerto Colombia, Barranquilla, AT, Colombia,

ryie@uninorte.edu.co,

Maria Saltarin, Carlos Paternina,

Julian Arellana

This paper analyzes the effect of infrastructure investment and freight accessibility

on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) by using a non-linear regression approach. We

use accessibility measurements to test improvements in transportation costs as

road networks are improved. Our results show that GDP significantly benefits

from (i) higher investments in infrastructure and better accessibility, and (ii) from

multimodal transportation compared to pure road transportation.

5 - Integrating Land Use and Urban Water Management through

Mathematical Models

Richard Zapata, Universidad del Desarrollo, Avda Sanhueza 1750,

Concepcion, CH, 4040418, Chile,

rlzapatag@gmail.com

,

Cristian Palma

The urban land use planning and the water resources management are not

always integrated. This lack of integration usually translates into over cost for

users and even no chance for companies to provide the service in some areas. In

this talk, we describe how we estimate the water demand by land use, and how

we integrate this demand with the water supply and the land use planning

process.

WB36

36-Room 413, Marriott

Humanitarian Applications IV

Sponsor: Public Sector OR

Sponsored Session

Chair: Tina Wakolbinger, Professor, Vienna University of Economics

and Business (WU), Welthandelsplatz 1, Vienna, 1020, Austria,

tina.wakolbinger@wu.ac.at

1 - Data Driven Resource Allocation Decisions: Fema’s Disaster

Recovery Centers

Julia Moline, FEMA, FEMA, Washington, DC, United States of

America,

julia.moline@fema.dhs.gov,

Erica Gralla,

Jarrod Goentzel

We create a data-driven decision process for Federal Emergency Management

Agency’s (FEMA) Disaster Recovery Centers (DRCs) program. We develop

thresholds and optimization models to dynamically locate, size, and staff DRCs.

We apply the process to recent disaster response scenarios and show that FEMA

could have reduced cost significantly while providing sufficient capacity.

2 - Humanitarian Logistics: Pre-Positioning of Relief Items in Istanbul

Serhan Duran, Associate Professor, Middle East Technical

University, ODTU Endustri Muhendisligi Bolumu, Ankara, 06800,

Turkey,

sduran@metu.edu.tr

, Sinem Konu, Ertan Yakici

In this study, we investigate pre-positioning of relief items while considering the

transportation vulnerability effect of a potential earthquake in Istanbul and

suggest disaster response facility locations accordingly, utilizing the data and

information about Istanbul from the JICA Report. The model considers the effects

of combined transportation mean vulnerability, warehouse building vulnerability,

demand intensity and distance traveled based on warehouse location decision.

3 - Outsourcing Humanitarian Logistics Activities to Commercial

Logistics Providers

Ioanna Falagara Sigala, Research Fellow, Vienna University of

Economics and Business (WU), Welthandelsplatz 1, Vienna, 1020,

Austria,

ioanna.falagara.sigala@wu.ac.at,

Tina Wakolbinger

This study explores the potential of outsourcing humanitarian logistics activities

to commercial logistics providers. We follow a qualitative approach by

interviewing both private and humanitarian organizations to identify the current

status and to determine the potential of future cooperation between those two

sectors. We integrate both Transaction Cost and Resource-Based View theories to

suggest propositions leading to the construction of a framework for outsourcing in

the humanitarian sector.

WB37

37-Room 414, Marriott

Modeling and Optimization of Health Care Processes

Contributed Session

Chair: Yifeng Yu, PhD Student, Penn State University, 445 Waupelani

Dr, Apt A14, State College, PA, 16801, United States of America,

yyf870314@gmail.com

1 - Monitoring Hip-Surgery Quality by Risk-Adjusted Control Charts

Yifeng Yu, PhD Student, Penn State University, 445 Waupelani

Dr, Apt. A14, State College, PA, 16801, United States of America,

yyf870314@gmail.com

, Harriet Nembhard

Risk-adjusted statistical process control charts are used for real-time monitoring of

the readmission rate after hip surgery. An alarm occurs if sufficient evidence

shows that there is a change in readmission rate. A logistic regression model is

incorporated to determine the pre-surgery risk of each patient. The difference in

pre-surgery risk is revealed in the risk-adjusted control statistics, thus changes in

the hip-surgery quality can be detected.

2 - Improving Patient Care using Integrated Health Monitoring

Systems for Diabetes and Hypertension

Saligrama Agnihothri, Professor, Binghamton University,

Binghamton University, Binghatmon, NY, 13902,

United States of America,

Agni@binghamton.edu,

Anu Banerjee

Patient care can be improved using smart technology in home health monitoring

systems. We implement a smart mobile application integrating 1200 patients and

multiple providers to improve communication, change treatment plans, and

reduce office visits. We provide preliminary data analysis for the vital signs and

identify stakeholder’s impact.

WB35