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South-North Corridor GRIP 2017
The graph indicates how in general the peak demand is expected to remain fairly
constant over the period, with a slight decrease in France and a more steady reduc-
tion rate in Germany (average rate of decline lower than 1%) and a small increase
in Italy. An interesting increase is then expected for Belgium, related to the
announced nuclear phase-out, while Luxembourg and Switzerland should remain
basically stable over the next two decades.
The graphs in Figure 3.21 and Figure 3.22 show the results for the different
consumption sectors (final customers – residential, commercial, industrial and
transportation – and power generation) obtained for the 2017–2037 period.
The stable trend foreseen for peak demand for the next two decades is balanced by
an increasing demand for power generation and a decreasing final demand.
For both categories, the respective positive and negative growth rates are more
emphasised for the countries of the South-North Corridor compared to the rest of
the EU countries.
0
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
GWh/d
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037
Region
Rest of EU-28
Total
Peak demand for nal demand
(residential, commercial, industrial and transportation)
Figure 3.21:
Evolution of the peak demand for final demand (residential, commercial, industrial and transportation) between 2017
and 2037 according to the Blue Transition scenario (Source: projection based on data from TSOs collected by ENTSOG)
0
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
GWh/d
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037
Region
Rest of EU-28
Total
Peak demand for power generation
Figure 3.22:
Evolution of the peak demand for power generation between 2017 and 2037 according to the Blue Transition scenario
(Source: projection based on data from TSOs collected by ENTSOG)