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South-North Corridor GRIP 2017 |

37

Image courtesy of terranets bw

3.3.1 ANNUAL DEMAND

As far as the annual average demand is concerned, the graph in Figure 3.14 shows

the expected trend for the countries of the South-North Corridor, the remaining

EU-28 countries and all of EU-28. A slight increase in demand can be observed over

this period, even though the growth rate is expected to decrease.

0

6,000

5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

TWh/y

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037

SNC Region

Rest of EU-28

Total

Total annual demand

Figure 3.14:

Evolution of the annual demand according to the Blue Transition scenario

(Source: projection based on data from TSOs collected by ENTSOG)

The ratio of the demand in the countries of the South-North Corridor to the total

EU-28 demand decreases gradually from 47.2% in 2017 to 44.6% in 2037. This

trend can be related to the higher degree of maturity that characterises the countries

of the area with respect to other markets in the rest of EU, which have relatively

younger gas markets and, therefore, higher growth potentials.