109 / 232
Ten Year Network Development Plan 2015 |
109
0
210
140
70
280
350
TWh/y
0
21
14
7
28
35
bcma
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Maximum
Intermediate
Minimum (zero)
Figure 5.52:
Potential pipeline gas scenarios from Turkmenistan
Table 5.12:
Potential pipeline gas scenarios from Turkmenistan
The resulting potential supply scenarios are the following:
\\
Maximum Turkmenistan gas scenario
This scenario is based on the combination of the highest production projection and
the lowest consumption projection (based on the last twenty years evolution). The
exports to Europe are calculated by deducting the above explained export figures to
neighbouring countries.
\\
Intermediate Turkmenistan gas scenario
This scenario is based on the combination of the average of the four production pro-
jections and the average of the two demand projections. The same approach than
in the maximum scenario has been used to derive exports to Europe.
\\
Minimum Turkmenistan gas scenario
Given the uncertainty on any export infrastructure to Europe this scenario considers
no Turkmenistan gas reaching the EU.
POTENTIAL PIPELINE GAS SCENARIOS FROM TURKMENISTAN
GWh/d
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
MAXIMUM
850
990
783
830
1,106
INTERMEDIATE
568
697
487
867
418
MINIMUM
0
0
0
0
0
In the assessment chapter imports from Turkmenistan can only start when an
infrastructure project is considered.