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INFORMS Nashville – 2016

110

SD48

210-MCC

Social Media Analytics for Competitive Advantage

Invited: Social Media Analytics

Invited Session

Chair: Vilma Todri, New York University, New York, NY, 11111,

United States,

vtodri@stern.nyu.edu

1 - Social Influence And Changing Circumstances In The Creation,

Maintenance, And Disruption Of Habits In Global Health Behavior

Christos Nicolaides, Massachusetts Institute of Technology,

chrisnic@mit.edu

In this research I analyze a unique, granular dataset of individual-level exercise

data from more than 10 million users worldwide for about seven years to (a)

measure the regularity of exercise behavior, (b) identify factors that predict a

behavior continuing, (c) compare social influence in running for individuals with

and without running habits, and (d) estimate the consequences of common

disruptions to circumstances cues for habitual behaviors. I use modern causal

inference techniques to address central questions in the psychology of habits with

applications to interventions — especially social interventions — to influence

exercise behavior and adoption of consumer exercise products.

2 - Location-based Advertising And Contextual Mobile Targeting

Dominik Molitor, New York University,

dmolitor@stern.nyu.edu

Understanding how location-based advertising (LBA) can be utilized to increase

sales in stores is important for offline retailers. LBA is a means to target users by

making use of their location via GPS-enabled smartphones. Further, the

ubiquitous nature of smartphones increases the importance of additional

contextual factors such as time and weather. In particular, we analyze how

contextual factors can be used to improve the prediction of responses to mobile

promotions by applying unique GPS data. In particular, we examine the interplay

between location, time, weather as well as co-location and users’ responses to

mobile promotions.

3 - The Effect Of Referral Source On News Article Readership And

Sharing Patterns

Sagit Bar-Gill, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge,

MA, United States,

sbargill@mit.edu

, Shachar Reichman, Xitong Li

The ongoing transition to online and mobile news consumption is both a

challenge and an opportunity to news providers. Readers are consuming more

content online, and are increasingly relying on third-party aggregators and social

media to find what content to read. We employ analytic tools and fine grained

news consumption data to study the effect of online referral sources on

readership and sharing patterns on the Christian Science Monitor website. We

explore differences in traffic patterns coming from social media and news

aggregators, and examine whether the effects of referral source differ for

mainstream compared to niche content.

4 - Trade-offs In Digital Advertising: Modeling And Measuring

Advertising Effectiveness And Annoyance Dynamics

Vilma Todri, New York University,

vtodri@stern.nyu.edu

Anindya Ghose, Param Vir Singh

This study captures the trade-offs between effective and annoying digital

advertising exposures. A hidden Markov model (HMM) is proposed that allows us

to investigate the extent to which display advertising has an enduring impact on

consumers’ purchase decision and whether display advertising can stimulate

annoyance to consumers; we provide a conceptual framework for understanding

whether persistent digital display advertising exposures constitute a mechanism of

annoyance. We also study the structural dynamics of the effective and annoying

display advertising effects by allowing the corresponding effects to be contingent

on the latent state of the funnel path consumers reside.

SD49

211-MCC

Text Analysis within Social Media

Invited: Social Media Analytics

Invited Session

Chair: Fay Cobb Payton, North Carolina State University, Campus Box

7229, Raleigh, NC, 27695, United States,

fay_payton@ncsu.edu

1 - Text Analytics - The Power Of Storytelling

FayCobb Payton, Professor, Information Systems, NCSU,

fay_payton@ncsu.edu

Numbers do not lie. This is a typical framework for positivists (often quantitative)

researchable questions. This session will provide the introduction and a case study

of why text analytics can be a powerful tool for complex, often unstructured data

sources. A following session will provide insights into incorporating text analytics

into organizational and research objectives.

2 - Unlocking Your 80%: Unearthing New Insights With Text Analytics

Christina Engelhardt, SAS Institute,

Christina.Engelhardt@sas.com

How can your organization harness the staggering volumes of textual data

coming from social & online media and your own proprietary systems? Join us as

we explore some of the challenges and exciting opportunities these rich, yet

complex, data sources provide us. Session topics include: • Why you should

consider incorporating text analytics into your data science, research, and

operational work streams• How to align technology, data sources, and the various

text methods with your use case and objectives• Examples of how leading

organizations are leveraging Text Analytics

3 - Hierarchical Machine Learning Approach To Detecting Anomalous

Behavior In Online Social Media Forums

Naveen Kumar, University of Memphis, Memphis, TN, 38152,

United States,

nkumar7@memphis.edu,

Deepak Venugopal,

Robin Poston

The detection of anomalous behavior in online social media is a challenging

problem due to complex interactions between several user characteristics such as

review veracity, velocity, volume, and variety. We propose a novel two stage

hierarchical machine learning approach that increases the likelihood of detecting

anomalies by analyzing different actions of individual users and then

characterizing their collective behavior. Specifically, we model user characteristics

as univariate/multivariate distributions and then combine these distributions

using mixture models to obtain a unified view of a user’s behavior. We apply our

approach to real-world reviews and obtain promising results.

SD50

212-MCC

Dr. William Massey: A Dynamic Legacy

Sponsored: Minority Issues

Sponsored Session

Chair: Jamol Pender, Cornell University, 206 Rhodes Hall, Ithaca, NY,

14853-3801, United States,

jamol.pender@gmail.com

1 - Dynamic Rate Queues

Jamol Pender, Cornell University,

jamol.pender@gmail.com

Inspired by healthcare and transportation systems, this talk will summarize the

past, present, and future of dynamic rate queues and their impact on our society.

2 - Dr. William Massey: A Dynamic Legacy

Robert Hampshire, University of Michigan,

hamp@umich.edu

In this talk we will explore the applications of time varying queues to problems in

urban transportation. We show how Bill Massey’s fundamental contributions to

queueing theory and applied probability can be applied to smart parking systems,

bike sharing and car sharing services

3 - The Dynamics 0f Queueing Transience With Dynamic Rates

William A Massey, Professor, Princeton University, ORFE

Department, Sherrerd Hall, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ,

08544, United States,

wmassey@princeton.edu

Inspired by communication and healthcare services, this talk summarizes the

methods developed with many collaborators over the decades to understand the

transient behavior of dynamic rate queues. This analysis is needed when

confronted with the dynamic parameters found in time-inhomogeneous

Markovian queueing models. The static equilibrium analysis for the steady state

of constant rate queues no longer applies.

Constants summarizing the transient behavior for these steady state systems yield

to the natural substitute of deterministic dynamical systems. We can then

approximate the optimal behavior of these queues by controlling this related

family of ordinary differential equations.

SD48