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6 East Monroe Street

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Fifth Floor

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Chicago, Illinois 60603

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Phone: 312.447.2010

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Fax: 312.444.1125

www.chjc.com

Section 3: Economic and Demographic Overview

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May 2017

Sports Market Business Strategy – Morgan Hill, CA

PAGE 20

POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS

Population figures were gathered through ERSI Online Business Analyst database. The population data

gathered is the most current information available and the City and County data is consistent with the

population statistics found in the City of Morgan Hill 2035 General Plan.

TOTAL POPULATION

A strong local population base is important to provide demand for youth sports complex. Most attendees for

recurring events, such as local sporting events, will live within a relatively short distance of the facility.

The 2016 population of Morgan Hill was 43,296 residents. This represents a 28% increase from 2000 when

the City of Morgan Hill had an estimated resident population of 33,733 persons. Since 2000, the population

of Morgan Hill has grown by 28.3 percent to 43,296 residents in 2016. Healthy growth was also observed

through the Santa Clara County market and the State of California, during this time.

Table 3-1

PROJECTED POPULATION GROWTH

The population forecasts displayed in the following table were sourced from the City of Morgan Hill’s 2035

General Plan. This report contains the projected populations for the Bay Area (a nine-county area including;

San Francisco, Oakland, and San Jose), Santa Clara County, and Morgan Hill through 2035. The populations

we examined are projected to grow approximately 20 percent by 2035. Morgan Hill is expected to grow by 21

percent to 48,400 residents in 2035. This represents an average annual growth of over 0.97 percent, which is

like that of the projected annual growth rate in the County (1.03 percent).

2000

2010

2016

% Growth

2000-2016

CAGR*

2000-2010

CAGR*

2010-2016

United States

281,421,906 308,745,538 323,580,626 15.0% 0.93% 0.79%

California

33,871,648 37,253,956 38,986,171 15.1% 0.96% 0.76%

Santa Clara County, CA

1,682,585 1,781,642 1,911,024 13.6% 0.57% 1.18%

Morgan Hill City, CA

33,733

37,882

43,296

28.3% 1.17% 2.25%

*Compounded Annual Growth Rate

Sources: Johnson Consulting, Esri ArcGIS BAO

Historic & Current Population - Morgan Hill, CA (2000-2016)