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6 East Monroe Street

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Fifth Floor

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Chicago, Illinois 60603

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Phone: 312.447.2010

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Fax: 312.444.1125

www.chjc.com

Section 3: Economic and Demographic Overview

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May 2017

Sports Market Business Strategy – Morgan Hill, CA

PAGE 21

Table 3-2

AGE CHARACTERISTICS

AGE DISTRIBUTION

The success of a multi-purpose sports complex will lie in its ability to develop a program that appeals to a

broad cross-section of the marketplace. A market’s age composition can be a decisive factor in determining

potential event demand, as certain types of events appeal to specific age groups. Sports are unique as they can

target a wide range of attendees, from youth to senior citizens. Age characteristics can also determine the

likelihood of an area to develop into a possible sports tourist location, from having enough workers to

support the industry, to influencing what types of tourists are attracted to the area.

Table 3-3 summarizes the age distribution of the Morgan Hill market, County, State, and Country. The table

shows a strong youth population (27.3 percent between ages 5-19) as well as a strong senior adult population

(28 percent ages 55 and older). These are two critical age groups for Morgan Hill to consider when

understanding the potential demand for sports facilities.

The age distribution of Morgan Hill primarily differs from that of the U.S. because of its higher concentration

of residents ages 14 and younger. As of 2016, 20.6 percent of the City of Morgan Hill’s residents were 14 and

younger, the greatest portion of this segment being residents between the ages of 10 and 14, which made up

7.3 percent. The proportion of residents under the age of 14 is larger than that of Santa Clara County (18.9

percent), California (19.1 percent), and the U.S. (19.0 percent).

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

% Growth

2015-2035

CAGR*

2016-2021

Bay Area, CA

7,461,400 7,786,800 8,134,000 8,496,800 8,889,000 19.13% 0.88%

Santa Clara County, CA 1,877,700 1,977,900 2,080,600 2,188,500 2,303,500 22.68% 1.03%

Morgan Hill City, CA 39,900

41,900

43,900

46,100

48,400

21.30% 0.97%

*Compounded Annual Growth Rate

Sources: Morgan Hill 2035 General Plan, Johnson Consulting

Projected Population Growth - Morgan Hill, CA (2015-2035)