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Figure 6.14:
European level supply and demand adequacy with no supply from Norway
0
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
6,000
7,000
TWh/y
0
500
400
300
200
100
600
700
bcma
2017
2020
2025
2030
2035 2037
National Production + Biomethane
Maximum Supply Potential
Minimum Supply Potential
Demand EU Green Revolution + Exports
Demand Blue Transition + Exports
Demand Green Evolution + Exports
Norwegian supply
The results for the CSSD indicator for Norwegian supply show a dependence for all of
Europe on Norwegian gas only for 2017 (slightly below 15%), linked to the limited sup-
ply flexibility of other sources (tomorrow as today approach) for this specific time horizon.
On the longer time horizon the availability of Russian gas and LNG mitigates the Europe-
an dependence on Norway completely. In the Blue Transition scenario, a slight depend-
ence (below 5%) reappears after 2030 for all countries. This is shown in Figure 6.14.
From 2017 onwards this dependence can be shared equally within all of Europe
meaning that no infrastructure limitations are identified, as indicated by Figure 6.15.
The following figure shows the results for CSSD – Norway at country level for the
Green Evolution scenario.
20% – 100%
0% – 20%
Remaining Flexibility
Disruption Demand
CSSD-NO, Green Evolution, Low infrastructure level, whole year
CSSD-NO
Green Evolution
2017 Low
CSSD-NO
Green Evolution
2020 Low
CSSD-NO
Green Evolution
2030 Low
0%
2%
25%
100%
15%
50%
Figure 6.15:
CSSD-NO, Green Evolution, Low infrastructure level, whole year