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Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report
LNG
The results of the CSSD indicator for LNG supply show limited dependence for all of
Europe on LNG. At EU-level, the gas infrastructure allows accessing the maximum
supply potential of all other sources. This indicates that the European-level situation
is purely a supply gap, reflecting that Europe relies on a minimum share of LNG to
achieve its supply and demand balance. Yet, some country-level limitations exist
and are detailed below.
The results for the CSSD indicator for LNG show dependence for the Iberian
Peninsula on the global LNG market, reflecting an infrastructure limitation prevent-
ing further substitution of LNG by pipe supply. The realisation of the Val de Saône
and Gascogne Midi projects in France mitigates the country dependence by 2020.
Since the LNG supply for the European gas grid consists of gas from various LNG
exporting countries, it should not be compared directly to the other indicators. For
details see the GLE analysis in section 3.3.2 in the supply chapter. Dependence
consequently relates to a competition issue, but security of supply is not at stake.
In 2017 and again from 2030 in the Blue Transition scenario, all other European
countries show a slight dependence (below 10%) on LNG imports which relates to
the EU-level supply dependence on LNG and can be equally shared between coun-
tries.
Figure 6.19 shows the results for CSSD to LNG supply in the Green Evolution
scenario.
Figure 6.18:
European level supply and demand adequacy with no LNG
0
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
6,000
7,000
TWh/y
0
500
400
300
200
100
600
700
bcma
2017
2020
2025
2030
2035 2037
National Production + Biomethane
Maximum Supply Potential
Minimum Supply Potential
Demand EU Green Revolution + Exports
Demand Blue Transition Demand + Exports
Demand Green Evolution + Exports