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2.5 TYNDP Demand Data
The demand data represented here corresponds to
the data submitted from TSO in accordance with the
demand scenario storylines and parameters. Volume
data represents average yearly demand and as such
indicates non-climatic variations that would naturally
occur. This input data for the TYNDP assessment
was shared with stakeholders as part of an early
transparency workshop, along with the supply
production and projects submitted.
2.5.1 FINAL GAS DEMAND (RESIDENTIAL &
COMMERCIAL, INDUSTRIAL AND TRANSPORT)
The following figures show the evolution of the final gas demand in the TYNDP
assessment years for all scenarios, including sectoral data. This covers informa-
tion regarding yearly average volume, as well as the high demand cases of the
peak day (1-day Design Case, DC) and the 2-week high demand case (14-day
Uniform Risk, 2W) average daily demand.
2.5.1.1 Volume
The scenario parameters have affected the EU28+ yearly final demand volumes in
different ways to give a range of evolutions.
In the Slow Progression scenario final gas demand is expected to marginally decline
between 2017 and 2035 (-3.3%) as the poor economic conditions and green ambi-
tion see little growth or decarbonisation, but some energy efficiency would still be
expected.
Blue Transition volumes remains almost completely stable across the time period,
as increased demand from transport and industrial sectors balance reductions in
the residential and commercial sector driven by moderate efficiencies and green
technology developments.