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3.1 Introduction
This chapter aims at defining future ranges of gas
supply. This is not only an interesting task of its own
but also a crucial basis for subsequent tasks. ENTSOG
relies on publicly available input and studies from third
parties to incorporate external knowledge into a resil-
ient and reliable future assessment. The supply poten-
tials as presented in this chapter have been developed
for this TYNDP for the purposes of the EU supply
adequacy outlook and the assessment of the gas
infrastructure. These supply potentials should not be
considered as forecasts.
Starting from the historical supply of the various sources (indigenous production,
pipeline import and LNG) the supply potentials are outlined following the logic of the
previous TYNDP edition.
European gas supply is divided between indigenous production and gas imports.
From the perspective of the network assessment, ENTSOG distinguishes between
pipeline-bounded imports from Russia, Norway, Algeria, Libya and Azerbaijan on
one hand and LNG on the other hand.
In the TYNDP, Norwegian production is considered as an import and is not report-
ed as part of the European indigenous production. Whenever a source exports gas
through both LNG and pipe, the LNG part is always reported separately from the
overall supply of this source and is gathered in the LNG supply potential. As a
reported supply source, LNG aggregates the potential production of over 20
producing countries including Russia, Norway and Algeria. With this approach
ENTSOG recognises the global nature of the LNG market.
In addition to the gas supply source, ENTSOG uses the concept of “import routes”
defining the entry points into Europe. The different routes considered in this Report
are listed in table 3.1 on the following page.