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ENERGY DEMAND (TWh GCV) FOR WEO 2015 AND 2016 SCENARIOS
GAS
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2015
New Policies
4,793
5,051
5,059
5,032
4,934
2015
Current Policies
4,981
5,753
6,171
2015
450S
4,711
4,513
3,615
2016
New Policies
4,870
5,038
5,059
5,023
4,859
2016
Current Policies
5,019
5,739
6,211
2016
450S
4,837
4,468
3,460
VARIANCE
New Policies
77
−14
0
−8
−74
VARIANCE
Current Policies
38
−14
40
VARIANCE
450S
126
−44
−155
Table 2.7:
Comparison of WEO 2015 vs WEO 2016 gas demand (Source: IEA WEO reports, TWh GCV)
0
2,000
1,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
7,000
6,500
6,000
1,500
500
2,500
3,500
4,500
5,500
TWh/y
0
100
500
400
300
200
Mtoe/y
2037
2017
2015
2013
2011
2009
2007
2005
2003
2001
2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035
WEO 2015 4505
historic gas demand
WEO 2015 NPS
WEO 2015 CPS
Slow Progression
EU Green Revolution
Green Evolution
Blue Transition
EC Reference Scenario 2016
On target 2030
Off target 2030
Figure 2.47:
Comparison of TYNDP scenarios to European Commission Reference Scenario 2016 and
IEA World Energy Outlook 2015 scenarios