ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 - Main Report

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94 | Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report
2.6.3 ENERGY EFFICIENCY
As part of the European Commission 2030 Framework for climate and energy policy,
there is an indicative target for energy savings of at least 27%. The role of energy
efficiency was further explored in the Energy Efficiency Impact Assessment 20141),
which looked at the effect of differing levels of energy efficiency on both gross inland
energy consumption and primary energy consumption, using the 2007 Baseline
projections for 20302).
When evaluating the TYNDP 2017 demand scenarios using the same approach,
against the 2005 gross inland consumption figures3) available from the EU Reference
Case 2016, a reduction in energy use of 18.5% would be needed to meet the 27%
target, and 22.1% if energy efficiency levels were deemed to reach 30%.
As shown in figure 46, the scenarios are either in line with or exceed these targets
and would be further improved when considering the higher efficiency of the
gas-fired power plants applied to the displacement of coal-fired generation in the
power sector, as these targets apply to all primary energy sources. Equally the use
of gas for transportation, which is highest in Blue Transition scenario, would see the
displacement of oil in this sector but ENTSOG does not have the required level of
detail to make these calculations.
0
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2005 Slow
Progression
2030
Blue
Transition
2030
Green
Evolution
2030
EU Green
Revolution
2030
Power demand –
coal displacement by gas
Power demand – without
coal displacement by gas
Final Demand
Historic gas demand
21%
TWh/y
27% 31% 18%
Figure 2.46: Estimated CO ² emissions from the power generation and gas final demand sectors
1)
2)
3) ENTSOG uses the Gross Inland Consumption as a comparison, as this is the demand collected from TSO.