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Ten Year Network Development Plan 2015
0
4,500
3,000
1,500
6,000
7,500
TWh/y
0
450
300
150
600
750
bcma
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Maximum
Intermediate
Minimum
Figure 5.74:
Aggregated supply potential to Europe
5.4 Aggregate potential supply
to Europe
The potential supply to Europe is based on the aggre
gation of the scenarios defined above. As shown in the
graph below, the three aggregate potential scenarios
follow divergent trends. The maximum scenario repre-
sents a moderate increase (20%), while in contrast the
intermediate scenario represents a moderate decrease
(13%) and the minimum scenario represents a signifi-
cant decrease (43%).
The following graphs show the evolution of the spread between the Minimum and
Maximum potential supply scenarios. In absolute values, the maximum spread is
found in LNG and Russian supply.