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Ten Year Network Development Plan 2015 |
63
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
100,000
80,000
GWh/y
Scenario A – Green
Maritime
Scenario B – Grey
Maritime
Scenario A – Green
Road LNG
Scenario B – Grey
Road LNG
Scenario A – Green
Road CNG
Scenario B – Grey
Road CNG
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
Figure 4.32:
TSOs projection for gas as fuel in the transportation sector (maritime and road)
0
350,000
250,000
300,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
GWh/y
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
Scenario A
Green
Eurogas Roadmap 2050
Scenario B
Grey
Figure 4.33:
Projection for gas as fuel in the transportation
sector. Comparison with Eurogas Roadmap 2050
in Norway, in the Netherlands and in Belgium and have been announced in Finland,
France and Spain. LNG bunker ships can currently be found only in Sweden.
In road transportation LNG could also replace gasoil/diesel as it would offer the same
advantages especially for truck fleets. LNG refueling stations are well developed in
the UK and the Netherlands as well as in Spain, Portugal, Sweden, Belgium, and
one in Italy.
The current lack of infrastructure hampers the wider use of gas as a fuel across
Europe (CNG and LNG) and has justified the final Directive 2014/94/EU on the
deployment of alternative fuels infrastructure adopted on the 29
th
of September
2014 by the European Parliament and the Council. Member States have to develop
national policy frameworks to support alternative fuels and the necessary develop-
ment of the underlying infrastructure. This consists with the construction of an
appropriate number of LNG maritime bunker facilities as well as LNG and CNG
refueling stations on the main European roads up to 2025.
TSO projections show a continuous growth of the use of gas as a fuel in the trans-
portation sector for the two scenarios. The increase is slightly smaller in Scenario B
1)
as economic and financial conditions are less favorable and efficiency measures
and investments are not as developed as in Scenario A. The highest increase is pro-
jected for Road LNG fuel, followed by maritime LNG fuel.
Gas demand in the transportation sector increas-
es over time for both the Eurogas Roadmap 2050
and ENTSOG’s scenarios. The difference between
the scenarios of both associations is partly
explained by the Eurogas inclusion of gas demand
for passenger and freight transport by air and by
rail. All scenarios show the same upward trend
for the use of gas in the transportation sector.
1) Scenario A and B base on the assumption stated above in section “combination of scenarios”.