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Ten Year Network Development Plan 2015 |
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0
600
500
400
300
200
100
GW
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
Wind offshore
Wind onshore
Solar
* Installed
capacity
0
10
20
30
40
50
%*
Vision 1
Figure 4.37:
Installed generation capacities and share in the total generation capacity mix by source in Vision 1 and Vision 3
0
600
500
400
300
200
100
GW
* Installed
capacity
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
Wind offshore
Wind onshore
Solar
0
10
20
30
40
50
%*
Vision 3
0
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
GWh
e
/d
2015
V1 V3 V1 V3 V1 V3 V1 V3 V1 V3
2020
2025
2030
2035
Figure 4.38:
Estimated daily variability for wind and solar
power.
1)
Table 4.6:
Maximum and minimum winter daily load-factors for the variable sources
The following figures show the daily variability,
calculated as the difference between the high and
low daily generation levels from the variable sourc-
es. The variability increase derives from the evolu-
tion of the installed capacity, while the minimum
and maximum load-factors are expected to
remain stable.
1)
MAXIMUM AND MINIMUM WINTER DAILY LOAD-FACTORS
FOR THE VARIABLE SOURCES
Daily load-factor
(High) – Winter
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
WIND ONSHORE
58%
58%
59%
59%
59%
WIND OFFSHORE
74%
70%
72%
72%
72%
SOLAR
11%
11%
11%
11%
11%
Daily load-factor
(Low) – Winter
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
WIND ONSHORE
9%
9%
9%
9%
9%
WIND OFFSHORE
8%
8%
8%
8%
8%
SOLAR
2%
3%
3%
3%
3%
1) As the graph reflects power generation, it is expressed in electrical units.