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INFORMS Nashville – 2016

284

2 - Fast Computation Techniques For The Stochastic On-time

Arrival Problem

Samitha Samaranayake, Cornell University,

samitha@cornell.edu

We present a new technique for solving the path-based stochastic on-time arrival

(SOTA) problem. Our approach uses the solution to the policy-based SOTA

problem - which is of pseudo-polynomial-time complexity in the time budget of

the journey - as an efficient search heuristic for the optimal path. We also

demonstrate how path preprocessing techniques can be used for further

speedups. To the best of our knowledge, these techniques provide the most

efficient computation strategy for the path-based SOTA problem for general

probability distributions, both with and without preprocessing.

3 - Urban Freight Microsimulation: Evaluating Freight Parking

Behavior In New York City

Trilce Marie Encarnacion, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute,

encart@rpi.edu,

Jose Holguin-Veras, Johanna Amaya

As urban centers continue having increased demand for consumer goods and

services, the amount of freight trafficc and the associated negative externalities

increase. Previous studies have shown that carriers have to either cruise until

they find a parking space or illegally park in order to make their deliveries. Using

data collected from in-depth interviews of carriers as well as current traffic

conditions, a discrete simulation framework was developed to replicate the

parking behavior of trucks making deliveries to a case study area in Midtown

Manhattan. The goal is to provide insight into optimal freight parking policies to

improve freight systems performance in dense urban areas.

4 - Dynamic Pricing In One-way Car Sharing Networks:

A Distributional Fluid Approximation Approach

Ling Zhang, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, United

States,

lzhang42@ncsu.edu,

Yunan Liu, Yang Liu, Shuangchi He

Balancing supply and demand across different areas is a critical issue in one-way

car sharing networks. We study dynamic pricing in order to maximize the profit

of a car sharing network. Since the stochastic network model is analytically

intractable, we propose a fluid approximation to represent the supply and

demand of vehicles. In contrast to conventional transportation fluid models that

assume deterministic processing times, general rental time distributions are built

into our fluid model. Moreover, our model allows for time-varying demand rates

and rental time distributions. Under this formulation, dynamic pricing is reduced

to a convex optimization problem that is efficiently solvable.

TB61

Cumberland 3- Omni

Online Delivery Routing

Sponsored: TSL, Freight Transportation & Logistics

Sponsored Session

Chair: Jan Fabian Ehmke, Freie Universität Berlin, Garystr. 21,

Berlin, 14195, Germany,

janfabian.ehmke@fu-berlin.de

1 - Taking Advantage Of In-store Customers To Deliver Online Orders

Iman Dayarian, Georgia Institute of Technology,

765 Ferst Dr NW, Atlanta, GA, 30318, United States,

iman.dayarian@isye.gatech.edu,

Martin W P Savelsbergh

Same-day delivery of online orders is becoming an indispensable service for large

retailers. We explore a novel environment in which in-store customers may take

over the task of delivering online orders on their way back home. Additionally, a

fleet of company-employed drivers is available to cover any unserved online

orders. This context represents a highly dynamic and stochastic environment for

which we explore and compare two rolling horizon approaches: one that ignores

any information about future arrivals of online orders and in-store customers,

and one that incorporates such information by means of sampled scenarios. Our

results demonstrate the superiority of scenario-based planning.

2 - An Online Cost Allocation Model For Horizontal Supply Chains

Han Zou, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA,

United States,

hanzou@usc.edu,

Maged M Dessouky,

John Gunnar Carlsson

This research addresses the cost allocation problem in a real-time cost sharing

transportation system, which results from horizontal cooperation among multiple

suppliers. We formulate the cost allocation problem for the dynamic vehicle

routing environment, where only part of the customers are known in advance,

and the rest become known in real time. We propose an online cost-sharing

mechanism coupled with a look-ahead dynamic vehicle routing framework that

explicitly forecasts future customer requests.

3 - A Branch-and-price Approach For The Vehicle Routing Problem

With Roaming Delivery Locations

Gizem Ozbaygin, Bilkent University, Ankara, Turkey,

ozbaygin@bilkent.edu.tr,

Martin W P Savelsbergh, Hande Yaman,

Oya Ekin Karasan

We study the vehicle routing problem with roaming delivery locations in which

each customer is associated with multiple locations and time windows. Exactly

one location per customer should be included in the delivery plan respecting the

time windows. We devise a branch-and-price algorithm to solve the problem and

perform a computational analysis.

4 - E-fulfillment For Attended Last-mile Delivery Services In

Metropolitan Areas

Jan Fabian Ehmke, Freie Universität Berlin, Garystr. 21,

Berlin, 14195, Germany,

janfabian.ehmke@fu-berlin.de

,

Catherine Cleophas, Charlotte Köhler, Magdalena Lang

We consider service time windows as a scarce resource and combine concepts of

revenue management and vehicle routing to improve e-fulfillment of last-mile

delivery services. As the customer has to be present for attended deliveries such as

groceries, a service time window has to be agreed upon already when the order is

accepted. We will focus on the factors impacting the success for e-fulfillment in

metropolitan areas, considering uncertain demand and traffic conditions. To this

end, we analyse historical order data and extend time-dependent vehicle routing

techniques.

TB62

Cumberland 4- Omni

Data Mining and Optimization for Improved

Airport Operations

Sponsored: Aviation Applications

Sponsored Session

Chair: Heng Chen, University of Nebraska–Lincoln, Supply Chain

Management and Analytics, Lincoln, NE, 68588, United States,

heng@unl.edu

1 - Airport Capacity Estimation For Decision Support

Sreeta Gorripaty, University of California Berkeley,

gorripaty@berkeley.edu

, Mark M Hansen

Capacity is a critical component of airport performance and air traffic decision-

making. Capacity of an airport is the throughput observed at sufficiently high

demand and is thus demand censored. The demand that is observed at the airport

is a result of strategic and tactical decisions made to avoid buildups of unmet

demand, thus making it challenging to estimate the capacity of an airport. We

demonstrate that Random Survival Forest (RSF) model can be used to capture the

censored nature of capacity data and model hourly capacity. The RSF capacity

model is further used in decision support algorithms to represent airport capacity.

2 - Parameter Fixing Method For Improving The Rate Of

Convergence Of A Hybrid Particle Swarm Optimization

Giuseppe Sirigu, Georgia Institute of Technology,

giuseppe.sirigu@aerospace.gatech.edu

A new solution is proposed to perform just in time taxi operations using

autonomous electric towbarless tractors, thereby to minimize the overall cost and

the environmental impact of the ground operations. An algorithm for a tool that

provides conflict-free schedules for the tractor autopilots was developed, which is

based on a hybrid particle swarm optimization (HPSO), hybridized with a hill

climbing meta-heuristic. In order to improve the rate of convergence of the

algorithm, we developed a parameter fixing method.

3 - Machine Learning Techniques For Airport Passenger

Flow Management

Xiaojia Guo, University College London, London, United Kingdom,

x.guo.11@ucl.ac.uk

, Yael S Grushka-Cockayne, Casey Lichtendahl,

Frederick Tasker, Neville Coss, Tom Garside, Bert De Reyck

Passengers missing their connection at an airport can have a major impact on

passenger satisfaction and airline delays. We develop a predictive model of

passengers’ connecting time using machine learning techniques, and provide both

point forecasts and probabilistic forecasts using historical and real-time data.

Based on these forecasts, we are developing a dynamic planning tool for London’s

Heathrow Airport to support airport operations.

TB61