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19

(MoENRP 2015), while the frequency of droughts

has increased almost threefold in recent years; mostly

in Shida, Kvemo Kartli, Kakheti and upper Imereti

(Ahouissoussi

et al

. 2014).

As documented in Georgia’s Third National

Communication to the UNFCCC (MoENRP 2015),

the increase in landslides, floods and mudflows is

caused by a combination of factors, including an

increase in anthropogenic pressures (population

growth, removal of vegetation on hillsides and

mountain slopes, construction on unstable soils,

development of artificial waterways), increase

in tectonic activity, and climate change (warmer

temperatures and increased frequency of heavy

precipitation). The likelihood of these incidents

occurring increases during heavy precipitation or

abnormally high amounts of seasonal precipitation.

As a result, areas projected to experience an increase

in such events are also likely be affected by higher

numbers of hydrological disasters. As temperatures

are expected to increase across the region, it is also

likely that the areas prone to drought will increase

and that droughts will become more intense (World

Bank 2006).

Landslide, Georgia

Sources : National Statistics Office of Georgia.

Graph by Manana Kurtubadze, GRID-Arendal, 2015.

Landslides and mudflows in Georgia

in 1995-2013

1000

900

800

700

600

500

400

300

200

100

0

12

11

10

9

8

7

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

1999

1995 1997

2001 2003 2005

Landslide

Mudflow

2007 2009 2011 2013

1999

1995

Case

Victim, person

1997

2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013