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Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report |

107

3.3.1 PIPELINE IMPORTS

Pipeline imports represent the main way to import gas into Europe. Considering

the reasonable distance between many producing countries and the European

consumers, pipelines represent an economical way to import gas.

3.3.1.1 Russia

The Russian Federation is currently the main gas supplier of the EU, providing

140 bcm (1,541TWh) in 2015, meaning 32% of EU supply share. It is expected to

remain a major import source over the whole time horizon of this Report. The future

production of gas will depend on investments in the upstream sector and increased

competition for Russian supply from other export destinations such as China.

Reserves

Russia has the second largest proven gas reserves in the world, behind Iran, with

32,271bcm at the end of 2015

 1)

. In the past decade the proved gas reserves of

Russia slightly increased (+14% between 2000 and 2015). According to Gazprom

most of the production and reserves are located in the Ural Federal District, with

significant reserves also in the continental shelf.

Production

In 2015, Russia was the second largest natural gas producer of the world behind the

United States with 573bcma.

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1985

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Production

Demand

Export / Production

Export/Production

Figure 3.16:

Natural gas production and demand of Russia (Source: BP statistical review 2016)

In the period 2005–2015 the natural gas production of Russia was on average

585bcma. There is one significant outlier in 2009 with a decrease that could be

linked to the economic down-turn and the Ukraine transit disruption. Contrary to

Norway, Russia has its own domestic demand that can influence its export poten-

tial. This internal demand of Russia remained stable around 400bcma.

 1) BP statistical review of world energy 2016