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Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report |

111

Image courtesy of Gassco

Reserves

Norway has been supplying natural gas to Europe for more than 40 years since

production began in the early 1970s. Since then, the development of new fields has

enabled the continuous increase of gas volumes exported by Norway. However for

the past decade the sold and delivered volumes have increased faster than new

discoveries have progressed (Reserves and contingent resources

 1)

 ). Roughly half of

the reserves still remain but the overall production could fall below current levels

during the 20-year time horizon of this report.

0

1,250

2,500

3,750

5,000

bcm

1973

1975

1977

1979

1983

1985

1987

1989

1993

1995

1997

1999

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2015

2013

Sold and delivered

Reserves

Contingent resources

Figure 3.20:

Evolution of Norwegian gas reserves 1973–2015

(Source: Norwegian Petroleum Directorate)

One of the main challenges for Norway is to decide about the most beneficial way to

export the future production. It is not decided yet whether to expand the offshore

network to connect new fields to the existing grid and export this production to

Europe or to export LNG globally. However, for this solution to materialise, strong sig-

nals from European market are required.

 1) Contingent resources mean the estimated recoverable volumes from known accumulations that have been proven

through drilling but which do not yet fulfil the requirements for reserves.