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INFORMS Philadelphia – 2015

179

3 - Examining Change in Hospital Quality and Efficiency after ACA

using Dynamic Network DEA

Yasar Ozcan, Professor, Virginia Commonwealth University,

P.O. Box 980203, Richmond, VA, 23298-0203,

United States of America,

ozcan@vcu.edu

, Jaya Khushalani

Dynamic Network DEA was used to examine change in both quality and

efficiency of hospitals between 2009 and 2013, pre and post Affordable Care Act

(ACA). Quality and efficiency improved significantly with no trade-off between

the two. Urban and teaching hospitals were less likely to improve quality and

efficiency together.

4 - Robust Decisions for the Partially Diversified Disease

Management Model

Shuyi Wang, Lehigh University, 200 W Packer Ave,

Bethlehem, PA, United States of America,

shw210@lehigh.edu

We discuss a model to help pharmaceutical companies determine the optimal

strategy under high uncertainty for a business model called the Partially

Diversified Disease Management Model, which includes disease care pathways as

well as health management, diagnostics&devices, and medication, and

incentivizes patients’ health. Our MIP provides a tradeoff between diversification

and specialization.

5 - When is the Outside Care Utilization Optimal for Acos?

Trade-off Between Cost, Access, and Quality

Tannaz Mahootchi, Postdoctoral Research Associate,

Northeastern University, 360 Huntington Ave, Boston, MA,

02115, United States of America,

t.mahootchi@neu.edu

Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) are responsible for the health outcomes

and the care expenses of their patients. We investigate the details of patient

diversion process to an alternative provider when the primary ACO is

experiencing congestion. ACOs choose the alternative provider based on the

performance measures and the costs of patient diversion. We derive the transfer

price and the performance measures that makes the diversion decision optimal.

MB22

22-Franklin 12, Marriott

Learning and Random Graphs

Sponsor: Applied Probability

Sponsored Session

Chair: Marc LeLarge, INRIA-ENS, 23 Avenue d’Italie, Paris, France,

marc.lelarge@ens.fr

1 - Typical Distances in Directed Random Graphs

Mariana Olvera-Cravioto, Associate Professor, Columbia

University, New York, NY, 10027, United States of America,

mo2291@columbia.edu

We study the distance between two randomly selected nodes in a directed

configuration model under the assumption that the degree distributions have

finite variance. In particular, we show that the distance grows logarithmically in

the size of the graph. The method of proof uses a coupling between a graph

exploration process and a weighted branching tree, since unlike the undirected

case, we need to keep simultaneous control of both the in-degrees and the out-

degrees.

2 - Competitive Contagion in Networks

Moez Draief, Imperial College London and Huawei Research

Paris, South Kensington Campus, London, United Kingdom,

moez.draief@huawei.com

There has been a growing interest, over the past few years, in studying models of

competing products/opinions on social networks. The question of interest is what

is the impact of the first adopters of a product on the outcome of a series of

adoption by other nodes in the system influenced by those initial nodes. More

precisely, the decision of a node to adopt a product is influenced by the behaviour

of its neighbours in the social network. This raises challenging and intriguing

mathematical, algorithmic and game theoretic questions. In this talk, I will

present an overview of recent developments in this topic.

3 - Learning in Networks: Multi-armed Bandits with Structure

Richard Combes, Assistant Professor, Centrale-Supelec, Plateau de

Moulon, 3 rue Joliot-Curie, Gif-Sur-Yvette, 91192, France,

richard.combes@supelec.fr

The design of networks and online services can often be mapped to a multi-armed

bandit problem with structure. With this approach, problems such as link

adaptation, resource allocation, or ad-display optimization can be solved in a

provably optimal manner. Namely, the learning speed of the proposed schemes

matches a fundamental limit verified by any scheme. A review of the relevant

mathematical tools and litterature is provided.

4 - Community Detection with the Non-backtracking Operator

Marc LeLarge, INRIA-ENS, 23 Avenue d’Italie, Paris, France,

marc.lelarge@ens.fr,

Charles Bordenave, Laurent Massoulie

Community detection consists in identification of groups of similar items within a

population. In the context of online social networks, it is a useful primitive for

recommending either contacts or news items to users. We will consider a

particular generative probabilistic model for the observations, namely the so-

called stochastic block model and prove that the non-backtracking operator

provides a significant improvement when used for spectral clustering.

5 - Rumor Source Obfuscation

Peter Kairouz, Graduate Research Assistant, University of Illinois

at Urbana Champaign, 408 E Clark St, Apt. 6, Champaign, IL,

61820, United States of America,

kairouz2@illinois.edu

,

Sewoong Oh, Pramod Viswanath

Anonymous messaging platforms have recently emerged as important tools for

sharing one’s thoughts without the fear of being judged by others. Such platforms

are crucial in nations with authoritarian regimes where the right to free

expression depends on anonymity. Existing messaging protocols are vulnerable

against adversaries who can collect metadata. We introduce a novel messaging

protocol and show that it spreads the messages fast and achieves perfect

obfuscation of the source.

MB23

23-Franklin 13, Marriott

Role of Information in Large-scale Stochastic

Resource Allocation Problems

Sponsor: Applied Probability

Sponsored Session

Chair: Kuang Xu, Stanford University, Stanford, CA,

United States of America,

kuangxu@stanford.edu

1 - Centralized Seat Allocation for Engineering Colleges in India

Yash Kanoria, Assistant Professor, Columbia University, New

York, NY, United States of America,

ykanoria@columbia.edu

The central government funds over 75 engineering colleges in India with 50,000

seats a year, and a diversity of programs and admissions criteria. We deploy a

new, centralized, seat allocation mechanism, that accounts for the preferences of

students as well as the admissions criteria for different colleges/programs using a

deferred acceptance inspired approach.

2 - Learning to Optimize via Information-directed Sampling

Daniel Russo, Stanford University, 218 Ayrshire Farm Lane,

Apt. 102, Stanford, CA, 93405, United States of America,

djrusso@stanford.edu

, Benjamin Van Roy

We offer a fresh, information-theoretic, perspective on the

exploration/exploitation trade-off and propose a new algorithm—information-

directed sampling—for a broad class of online optimization problems. We

establish a general expected regret bound and demonstrate strong simulation

performance for the widely studied Bernoulli, Gaussian, and linear bandit

problems. Simple analytic examples show information-directed sampling can

dramatically outperform Thompson sampling and UCB algorithms.

3 - Online Advertising Matching in the Large Market

Jian Wu, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, United States of America,

jw926@cornell.edu

, Peter Frazier, J. G. Dai

We study online advertising matching in a large market asymptotic regime, in

which the number of opportunities and the number of advertisers increase

simultaneously. We develop a matching policy based on the LP solution to a

certain deterministic problem. Under certain conditions, we prove that the policy

is asymptotically optimal under the fluid-scaling to maximize click-through-rate

(CTR) while satisfying all contractual agreements with overwhelming probability.

4 - Robust Scheduling in a Flexible Fork-join Network

Yuan Zhong, Columbia University, 500 W. 120th Street,

New York, NY, 10027, United States of America,

yz2561@columbia.edu,

Ramtin Pedarsani, Jean Walrand

We consider a general flexible fork-join processing network, motivated by

applications in e.g., cloud computing, manufacturing, etc, in which jobs are

modeled as directed acyclic graphs, and servers are flexible with overlapping

capabilities. A major challenge in designing efficient scheduling policies is the lack

of reliable estimates of system parameters. We propose a robust scheduling policy

that does not depend on system parameters, and analyze its performance

properties.

MB23