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Southern Corridor GRIP 2017–2026
Image courtesy of Snam Rete Gas
In the 2030 cases, we see the higher flows through the TAP pipeline, since neither
the East-Med nor the Poseidon pipelines are considered in the Low infrastructure
level. We also see the higher flows to the LNG terminals of Italy and Greece.
Comparing the reference case with the three max cases (RU, AZ, LNG) we see that
the sources becoming relatively cheaper bring additional flows to Europe, in
particular:
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In the case of RU max we have the higher reduction of the LNG flow, to almost
zero in Greece and by almost 50% in Italy as well as an important increase of
the westward flows from UA in Central Europe and up to Italy, and in the Balkan
route up to Greece.
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In the case of AZ max, we mainly see an increase of the flow to Italy via TAP.
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In the case of LNG max, we see an important increase (by almost four times) of
the LNG received by Greece and by 30% of the LNG received by Italy. As in the
previous cases we also see a small decrease of the flows from UA westwards,
via SK.