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Southern Corridor GRIP 2017–2026 |

109

20–40%

<20%

<40%

10–30%

>20%

0–50GWh/d

0–80% of capacity

50–250GWh/d

250–600GWh/d

600–1100GWh/d

>1100GWh/d

<30%

80–99% of capacity

99–100% of capacity

20–40%

<20%

<40%

10–30%

>20%

0–50GWh/d

0–80% of capacity

50–250GWh/d

250–600GWh/d

600–1100GWh/d

>1100GWh/d

<30%

80–99% of capacity

99–100% of capacity

20–40%

<20%

<40%

10–30%

>20%

0–50GWh/d

0–80% of cap

50–250GWh/d

250–600GWh/d

600–1100GWh/d

>1100GWh/d

<30%

80–99% of ca

99–100% of c

20–40%

<20%

<40%

10–30%

>20%

0–50GWh/d

0–80% of cap

50–250GWh/d

250–600GWh/d

600–1100GWh/d

>1100GWh/d

<30%

80–99% of ca

99–100% of c

Figure 7.4.5:

2030 Low Reference

Figure 7.4.7:

2030 Low AZ max

Figure 7.4.6:

2030 Low RU max

Figure 7.4.8:

2030 Low LNG max

Comparing the reference case with the three max cases (RU, AZ, LNG), in 2020, we

note that:

\\

In the case of RU max, we see an important increase of the flows from Ukraine

via Slovakia to Austria, Italy and the Czech Republic at the expense of the flows

to Italy from all other pipeline sources which are reduced while LNG flows to

both Italy and Greece are reduced to zero.

\\

In the case of AZ max, we see a small increase in the exports through TAP to

Italy, compensated by the reductions in the imports from Algeria and

Switzerland.

\\

In the case of LNG max, we see an important increase of the imports to Greece

(in percentage, as the absolute volumes are rather low) and in Italy, at the

expense of the imports from Algeria and to a lesser extent, Libya and Austria.

We also see a reduction of the imports from UA, in central Europe and an in-

crease in the flows from CZ, DE and CH to the SC Region.