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INFORMS Philadelphia – 2015

328

2 - Appointment Scheduling and Overbooking to Improve Patient

Access and Reduce Patient Backlog

Linda Laganga, Vp Of Quality Systems, Mental Health Center of

Denver, 4141 East Dickenson Place, Denver, CO, 80302, United

States of America,

linda.laganga@mhcd.org,

Stephen Lawrence

Patient no-shows continue to trouble outpatient clinical service delivery. We

continue our piloting and implementation of scheduling models developed in our

earlier research to develop new techniques to assist clinics in meeting their goals

to improve patient flow and reduce backlog in scheduling. We utilize medical

practice experience to develop realistic estimates of costs and their effect on the

selection of high-performing scheduling alternatives.

3 - Improving HIV Early Infant Diagnosis Supply Chains in

Sub-Saharan Africa: Models and Application to Mozambique

Jonas Jonasson,Student, London Business School, Regent’s Park,

London NW1 4SA, United Kingdom,

jjonasson@london.edu

,

Sarang Deo, Jérémie Gallien

Most countries in sub-Saharan Africa experience delays in HIV early infant

diagnosis (EID). We develop a two-part modeling framework to generate

operational improvements in EID networks and evaluate their impact on public

health. For the case of Mozambique, we estimate that the interventions of

optimally re-assigning clinics to labs and optimally re-allocating diagnostic

capacity would result in 11% and 22% shorter turnaround times and 4% and 7%

more infants starting treatment, respectively.

TC30

30-Room 407, Marriott

Decision Support Systems I

Contributed Session

Chair: Mohamad Hasan, Associate Professor, Kuwait University,

Department of Quantitative Methods &IS, CBA,Kuwait University,

Kuwait City, 13055, Kuwait,

mkamal@cba.edu.kw

1 - Review of Consistency Among Pairwise Comparisons:

Relationship Between Indices and Human Perception

Yuji Sato, Graduate School of Management, Chukyo University,

101 Yagotohonmachi, Showa, Nagoya, 466-8666, Japan,

ysatoh@1988.jukuin.keio.ac.jp

This paper reviews the Consistency Index (CI) of AHP. Since AHP requires

redundant pairwise comparisons, transitivity in judgment is often violated. The

review focuses on the detection capability of CI, and the relationship between the

size of CI and the goodness-of-fit of weight to decision maker’s perception. The

results imply that CI may not distinguish the consistency of judgment nor the size

may have no relation with the degree of goodness-of-fit of weight to decision

maker’s perception.

2 - Transformations and Materializations of Uncertainty Sets in

Robust Optimization

Abhilasha Aswal, International Institute of Information

Technology, Bangalore, 26/C Electronics City, Bangalore, KA,

560100, India,

abhilasha.aswal@iiitb.ac.in,

Prasanna Gns

We present a polyhedral representation of uncertainty for robust optimization and

a volume based uncertainty measure for it. Our decision support framework

enables easy transformations and materializations of a given uncertainty set and

also easy set-theoretic operations on alternative uncertainty sets. These operations

are quite useful in practice and are more difficult with probabilistic

representations of uncertainty and non-polyhedral robust uncertainty sets.

3 - Open Source or Proprietary? A Study on Software Diffusion in a

Competitive Market

Chao Ding, Assistant Professor, University of Hong Kong, KKL

807, Hong Kong, Hong Kong - PRC,

chao.ding@hku.hk

When choosing between open source software and proprietary software,

consumers will consider software quality, cost, consumer reviews, promotions,

compatibility, technical support, ease of use, etc. In this paper, we consider three

important decision making factors as identified in literature: external influence,

internal influence and ownership cost and study their impact on consumers’

adoption decision.

4 - A Decision Support System for Predicting International Freight

Flows for Trade

Mohamad Hasan, Associate Professor, Kuwait University,

Department of Quantitative Methods &IS, CBA, Kuwait City,

13055, Kuwait,

mkamal@cba.edu.kw

A decision support system is developed that can help decision makers to take right

decisions about the country international trade system. It helps them to evaluate

deferent scenarios to improve the multimodal Transport system and import,

export, re-export, and transit operations. These improvements will enhance the

competitiveness and integration of this system.The overall results will help in

increasing the international trade share for the country.

TC31

31-Room 408, Marriott

Joint Session DM/QSR: Quality and Statistical

Decision Making in Health Care Applications

Sponsor: Data Mining

Sponsored Session

Chair: Shuai Huang, University of Washington, Dept. of Industrial

and Systems Eng., Seattle, WA, United States of America,

shuai.huang.ie@gmail.com

1 - Social Media Analytics for the Promotion of Mental Health

Qingpeng Zhang, Assistant Professor,

City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong - PRC,

qingpeng.zhang@cityu.edu.hk

The digital footprints of Web users left on social media present important mental

health proxies. In this work, we aim to characterize the dynamics of the online

social groups for the mutual help of people suffering from depression. We

identified unique features in both language and social interaction patterns, and

interesting relationship between the two, which could have important

implications of the causes and factors of depression.

2 - Adaptive Cluster-based Oversampling Method: Application to

Gynecological Surgery Failure Prediction

Iman Nekooeimehr, PhD Candidate, University of South Florida,

14304 Wedgewood Ct., Apt. 201, Tampa, FL, 33613, United

States of America,

nekooeimehr@mail.usf.edu,

Stuart Hart,

Allison Wyman, Susana Lai-yuen

A new oversampling method called Adaptive Semi-Unsupervised Weighted

Oversampling is presented for imbalanced dataset classification. It is adaptive, and

avoids overgeneralization and overfitting. The method was used with Support

Vector Machines to predict surgical failure after gynecological repair operations.

Results show 76% weighted accuracy and improvement over other oversampling

methods.

3 - Real-time Detection of System Change Points via Graph Theoretic

Sensor Fusion

Prahalad Rao, SUNY Binghamton, 4400 Vestal Pkwy. E,

Binghamton, NY, United States of America,

prao@binghamton.edu,

Chou-An Chou, Samie Tootooni

We propose a novel graph theoretic approach for detection of system change

points from multidimensional sensor data. The approach is based on transform

time series data into an un-weighted and undirected planar graph, and

subsequently extracting topological invariants. This approach outperforms

conventional statistics-based monitoring techniques. We demonstrate the

effectiveness of the approach based on experimentally acquired sensor data from

advanced manufacturing processes and healthcare.

4 - High-throughput Screening for Rule Discovery from High-

dimensional Datasets

Mona Haghighi, University of South Florida, 3202 E Fowler

Avenue, Tampa, FL, 33620, United States of America,

monahaghighi@mail.usf.edu,

Shuai Huang, Xiaoning Qian,

Bo Zeng

We propose a rule-based methodology to Identify risk-predictive baseline patterns

of Alzheimer’s disease through a network-based mathematical model. We apply

data-mining techniques to reduce dimensionality while taking care of synergistic

interaction of variables. Selecting a set of rules to monitor the progression of the

disease is the second part of this study.

TC32

32-Room 409, Marriott

Decision Support Systems for Data Mining

Contributed Session

Chair: Zhiguo Zhu, Associate Prof., Dongbei University of Finance and

Economics, No. 217 JianShan St., Shahekou District, Dalian, 110625,

China,

zhuzg0628@126.com

1 - A Mixture Method of Multivariate Time Series Clustering

Cheng-Bang Chen, Penn State University, 233 Leonhard

Building, University Park, PA, 16802, United States of America,

czc184@psu.edu,

Soundar Kumara

Time series clustering is widely used in different domains. Although much

literature is available on time series clustering, only a few articles relate to

multivariate time series clustering. This research developed a clustering

methodology and applies different similarity/dissimilarity measures to

multivariate time series datasets. It can reduce the data size and has good

clustering performance.

TC30