ENTSOG TYNDP 2015

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Ten Year Network Development Plan 2015 |

223

5 SUPPLY

5.1 Existing and new import sources and routes . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 5.2 European gas balance: Entries vs Exits 2003 – 2012 . . . . . . . . . 77 5.3 Evolution of indigenous production vs. import 2003 – 2012 . . . . . . . 77 5.4 Evolution of imports 2009 – 2013 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 5.5 Evolution of supply shares 2009 – 2013 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 5.6 Daily flexibility (max, average, min) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78 5.7 Split of the European LNG supply by route 2009 – 2013 . . . . . . . . 79 5.8 Shares of LNG import routes 2009 – 2013 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79 5.9 Split of European LNG re-exported in energy . . . . . . . . . . . . 79 5.10 Split of European LNG re-exported cargoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79 5.11 Split of the European Algerian supply by route 2009 – 2013 . . . . . . . 80 5.12 Shares of Algerian import routes 2009 – 2013 . . . . . . . . . . . . 80

5.13

Split of the Norwegian supply by route 2009 – 2013 . . . . . . . . . 80

5.14 Shares of Norwegian import routes 2009 – 2013 . . . . . . . . . . . 80 5.15 Split of the Russian supplies by route 2009 – 2013 . . . . . . . . . . 81 5.16 Shares of Russian import routes 2009 – 2013 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 5.17 EU indigenous production 2009 – 2013. Country detail. . . . . . . . . 83 5.18 Evolution of EU indigenous production (%) between 2010 and 2013. Country detail. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 5.19 Potential of EU conventional production 2015 – 2035 . . . . . . . . . 84 5.20 Potential of EU conventional production (excl. non-FID) 2015 – 2035 . . . 85

5.21

Shares of EU potential conventional production (excl. non-FID) 2015–2035 . 85

5.22 Potential of EU conventional production (incl. non-FID) 2015 – 2035 . . . 85 5.23 Shares of EU potential conventional production (incl. non-FID) 2015–2035 . 85 5.24 Technically recoverable shale gas resources in the EU . . . . . . . . 86 5.25 Technically recoverable shale gas in EU . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 5.26 Potential scenarios for shale gas (in comparison with/without conventional production) . . . . . . . . . 88 5.27 European biogas plants by source in January 2014 . . . . . . . . . . 89 5.28 Evolution of biogas production in Europe . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 5.29 Potential scenarios for biomethane (in comparison with/without conventional production) . . . . . . . . . 90 5.30 Biomethane intermediate potential scenario (split by country) . . . . . . 91 5.31 Natural gas production of Russia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92 5.32 Russian natural gas trade movements by pipeline . . . . . . . . . . 93 5.33 Potential pipeline gas scenarios from Russia . . . . . . . . . . . . 94 5.34 Norwegian pipeline exports by destination in 2013 . . . . . . . . . . 95 5.35 Evolution of Norwegian gas reserves 1973 – 2013 . . . . . . . . . . 96 5.36 Potential pipeline gas scenarios from Norway . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 5.37 Algerian dry natural gas production and consumption . . . . . . . . . 99 5.38 Algerian pipeline gas exports to Europe 2006 – 2013 . . . . . . . . . 100

5.39

Algerian LNG exports to EU and Turkey 2007 – 2013 . . . . . . . . . 100