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Ten Year Network Development Plan 2015 |
53
0
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
TWh/y
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
Vision 3 – Scenario A
Demand range under TSO’s scenario
(final + power)
Vision 1 – Scenario B
Figure 4.18:
Total gas demand and comparison with TSO’s submission
> -50%
> 50%
0%
GREY
> -50%
> 50%
0%
GREY
> -50%
> 50%
0%
Figure 4.19:
Evolution of total annual gas demand in the period 2015 – 2035.
Gas demand for power generation is based on data from ENTSO-E SO&AF 2014 – 2030.
4.3.2.3 Comparison of total annual gas demand between the
two scenarios
The following figures compare the evolution of the total gas demand for the GREEN
and GREY scenarios. They show the maximum range for the GREEN scenario and
the minimum range for the GREY. Both scenarios show a slight increase of total gas
demand, although starting from different absolute levels. The discrepancy between
the two scenarios for final gas demand is small. In fact, the difference between
GREEN and GREY scenarios mostly results from power generation scenarios under
Visions 1 and 3. GREEN is 20% higher than the GREY scenario on average. In
addition, the figures also show the range of total gas demand, including TSOs
demand scenarios for power generation. TSOs scenarios are consistent with the
GREY scenario, especially in the long term.