ENTSOG TYNDP 2015

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Ten Year Network Development Plan 2015

Table of Content

FOREWORD 6 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 8

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INTRODUCTION 16 2 INFRASTRUCTURE 20 2.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 2.2 Gas infrastructures and European energy policy . . . . . . . 21 2.3 Data collection process . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 2.4 Projects of Common Interest . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 2.5 Analysis of project submission . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23

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BARRIERS TO INVESTMENT 28 3.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 3.2 Overall impact of energy policies . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 3.3 Project promoter perspective policies . . . . . . . . . . . 29 3.4 TSO perspective . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33

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DEMAND 34 4.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 4.2 Current state . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 4.3 Demand scenarios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 4.4 Climate and energy policies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 4.5 Comparison with other demand outlooks . . . . . . . . . . 71

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SUPPLY 74 5.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 5.2 Historic supply trend . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 5.3 Supply scenarios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 5.4 Aggregate potential supply to Europe . . . . . . . . . . . 128 5.5 Supply Adequacy Outlook . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130